Forex Analysis & Reviews: 19.11.2020 - USD/NOK: Norwegian krone's...

19.11.2020 11:31 AM

USD/NOK: Norwegian krone's growth will succeed

A lot of investors are turning to Scandinavian currencies, when most countries were covered by the second wave of the COVID-19. One of Scandinavian currencies is the Norwegian krone, which has been unnoticed for a long time.

Deutsche Bank's currency strategists believe that there is a high possibility that NOK will grow in the long-term. This is supported by the country's stable economy and the ability to control the spread of COVID-19 due to territorial limitations. Moreover, senior analyst from the indicated bank, Robin Winkler, is sure that Scandinavian currencies such as the Norwegian and Swedish krona will be in favor, while global reflation strengthens.

Experts say that a fairly strong economic growth recently recorded in Norway will allow it to avoid another downturn. A potential reduction in economic activity was predicted in the winter of 2021, but the Norwegian economy is coping well with the current challenges, so difficulties are not expected. The second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic failed to destroy the Norwegian economy, unlike the larger European territories which are currently suffering. As a small state with an open economy, Norway is dealing with the coronavirus threat faster and easier.

The economic recovery of this northern country is supported by stable prices in energy markets. According to experts, this will allow Norway to hold out until an effective vaccine against COVID-19 is released. As a result, the country will be one of the first, along with Sweden, to receive collective immunity. If so, the Norwegian economy will gain an advantage over other European states.

Therefore, experts think that the current situation is favorable for the growth of the Norwegian krone. It is currently undervalued against the dollar by 25%, which is a high figure. Today, the USD/NOK pair is trading near the range of 9.0314-9.0315. The pair's dynamics are quite lively, and it is able to sharply rise at certain moments.

However, not all analysts are optimistic about the indicated currency. Commerzbanks' currency strategists are cautious about the possible growth of NOK. The bank agrees that the price of Norwegian krone may rise after the introduction of an effective vaccine against COVID-19. However, there is one problem: the uncertainty about the country's economic prospects, which limits the growth of the national currency. According to a macroeconomic report released last Tuesday, the Norwegian economy was able to recover in the third quarter of 2020, but this did not give its national currency a new impulse.

Moreover, the bank's analysts argued that NOK still remains vulnerable in the short-term planning range, but will be able to recover by the end of 2020. Its positive dynamics is supported by the rise in oil prices and relative stability in the world market.

Therefore, we can expect the Norwegian krone to continue rising in the first half of 2021, as there are a number of favorable factors that can turn to its advantage. Experts believe that this will be successful for the Scandinavian currency.

你今天已经点赞上这篇文章了

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

If you have any content questions, please contact editorial-board@instaforex.com

News

Larisa Kolesnikova,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025

该作者的更多文章

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

选择时间框架

分钟

小时

天

周

开始交易

通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。

下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。

推荐文章

市場如過山車：S&P 500 下跌 3%，黃金創下歷史新高

比特幣在關稅動盪擾亂全球市場中掙扎尋求支撐

4月10日美國市場新聞摘要

為什麼在人民幣貶值和美國期貨下跌的情況下，股票卻在上升？

4月9日美國市場新聞摘要

多米諾效應：美國關稅衝擊市場，投資者拋售美元與債券

「黃金」預測：黃金價格將達到 $3,500，$3,700——越來越高？

市場如同坐過山車：道瓊指數暴跌，黃金上漲，特朗普使投資者緊張不安

4月8日美國市場新聞摘要

市場動盪：道瓊大跌、黃金飆升、特朗普增添緊張

Top analytics