empty
29.11.2022 02:15 PM
How much will interest rates be raised in December?

This image is no longer relevant

Concerns about mass protests in China are in the spotlight. According to the New York Times, "After a weekend of confrontations between officials and demonstrators, video from two sites in Shanghai and Beijing showed a heavy security presence."

Chinese citizens staged protests against the strict restrictions and lockdowns in China, which led to nationwide protests. Investors are worried that lockdowns and strict restrictions will dampen economic growth in China, the world's second-largest economy.

Various members of the Federal Reserve have been very vocal about the upcoming interest rate hikes. These events affect the sentiment of investors in precious metals.

One of the more hawkish members of the Federal Reserve is St. Louis Fed President James Bullard. Last week, he commented on the need to raise the Federal Reserve's base rate to 7% to cope with declining inflation. Speaking to MarketWatch editor Greg Robb this week, when asked how long the federal funds rate would need to stay in the 5% to 7% range, he said that "the Federal Reserve will likely need to keep its benchmark policy rate north of 5% for most of 2023 and into 2024 to succeed in taming inflation."

During his interview with MarketWatch, Bullard also added that "it seems markets are still underestimating the degree to which the Fed will need to keep policy tight in order to rein in inflation, explaining that there is still some expectation that inflation might subside on its own."

Investors are wondering whether Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will tone down the hawkish rhetoric when he speaks Wednesday at an event hosted by the Brookings Institution in Washington. It is now widely believed that the Federal Reserve will raise its base rate by 50 basis points in December.

However, the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate hike is decreasing. Currently, the CME's FedWatch tool estimates a 67.5% chance that the Fed will raise its benchmark rate by 50 basis points at the last FOMC meeting this year. Just a day ago, the CME FedWatch tool predicted a 75.8% chance, and a week ago it predicted an 80.6% chance.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

歐洲央行可能兩次降息

歐元兌美元顯示出強勁上漲勢頭。EUR/USD 貨幣對已經達到三年以來的新高,且沒有放緩的跡象。

Jakub Novak 12:42 2025-04-11 UTC+2

AUD/USD。分析與預測

AUD/USD匯率正試圖在從0.5900心理水平的反彈中吸引買家,這是自2020年3月以來的最低點。受美國總統唐納德·特朗普暫停徵收關稅的樂觀情緒推動,這波上升勢頭已經克服了0.6200的整數關口。

Irina Yanina 12:39 2025-04-11 UTC+2

市場面臨長期不穩定時期 (美元/日圓和美元/瑞士法郎可能繼續下跌)

週四,投資者意識到,目前並不存在穩定性。高市場波動性依舊存在,並將在一段時間內持續主導市場。

Pati Gani 09:11 2025-04-11 UTC+2

市場已經習慣了混亂

如果人生不是一場遊戲,那會是什麼?過去幾年,投資者關注美聯儲和金融市場之間的對峙。但到了2025年,遊戲規則發生了變化。

Marek Petkovich 08:42 2025-04-11 UTC+2

4月11日應關注什麼?初學者的基本事件分析

星期五有相對較多的宏觀經濟事件預定,但預期不會對市場產生影響。當然,針對個別報告,我們可能會看到短期反應,但普遍認為市場依然由特朗普推動。

Paolo Greco 06:04 2025-04-11 UTC+2

英鎊/美元概況。4月11日:市場不相信特朗普

GBP/USD 貨幣對在週四同樣走高。提醒一下,目前的宏觀經濟和傳統的基本面因素對貨幣波動幾乎沒有影響。

Paolo Greco 03:28 2025-04-11 UTC+2

歐元/美元概況。4月11日:美國喜劇繼續上演

週三晚上,EUR/USD貨幣對急劇下跌,但在白天顯示出一定的回升。週四進一步上漲——這一系列的波動只能用過山車來形容。

Paolo Greco 03:28 2025-04-11 UTC+2

2023年4月11日英鎊/美元交易建議與分析:美元雙重打擊

英鎊/美元貨幣對在週四也呈現強勁增長,儘管不如歐元/美元貨幣對那樣強勁。英鎊只上漲了約 200 點——在當前情況下這並不是一個可觀的變動。

Paolo Greco 03:28 2025-04-11 UTC+2

歐元/美元。來自過去的訊息:美國CPI報告未能支持美元

週四發布的CPI報告顯示通脹弱於預期。市場作出相應反應:美元再次承受壓力(美元指數跌入100.00區間),而歐元/美元買家再次測試1.12關口。

Irina Manzenko 00:47 2025-04-11 UTC+2

歐元勢如破竹,反對者節節敗退

歐洲股票指數上揚、美國通脹放緩,加上美國平均關稅在90天的延遲期內未有顯著變化,這些因素皆促成了歐元兌美元(EUR/USD)的上升。該主要貨幣對似乎已準備好恢復其上升趨勢,並且似乎不太關心德國經濟的放緩或歐洲央行即將進行的存款利率下調。

Marek Petkovich 00:47 2025-04-11 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.