empty
10.03.2023 12:51 PM
Bitcoin crashes below $20k amid negative macroeconomic forecasts: should we expect an upward correction?

After a week of consolidation, Bitcoin is approaching the end of the trading week by updating the local day below the $20k mark. The cryptocurrency consolidated near the $22.5k level and was prone to decline, which happened.

The fall in the price of Bitcoin was influenced by many fundamental and technical factors that formed a negative sentiment among investors. The current week showed that the period of local thaw is over and another storm is waiting for the markets in the near future.

Fundamental background

Let's start with the good news, which finally came from the labor market. Initial jobless claims in the U.S. reached 211,000 against the forecast of 195,000. This is a key point that indicates a gradual weakening of the labor market.

This image is no longer relevant

If this develops into a trend, we can expect a more moderate monetary policy of the Fed regarding the key rate. That said, it is reported that there are 5 million more job openings in the U.S. than unemployment, so the formation of a sustained momentum may not take place.

Jerome Powell's speech also did not reassure markets, and markets now expect a 50 basis point rate hike in March, to 5%–5.25%. Investors are confident that the rate will be raised by another 25 bps in May and June. A rate cut is not expected until January 2024.

This image is no longer relevant

Investment giant Citi shares investors' forecasts and raises the peak of the key rate to 5.5%–5.75%. The coming months will be difficult for markets and especially high-risk assets due to large liquidity problems and falling quotes of instruments such as SPX and BTC.

What is happening in the crypto market?

The situation on the crypto market has also become more complicated due to the start of the procedure for the liquidation of the crypto-friendly Silvergate Bank. At the same time, Santiment reports that buy the dip sentiment is forming in the market, but despite this, the market capitalization may decrease even more.

This image is no longer relevant

U.S. President Joe Biden also called for a 30% tax on all electricity used to mine Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. The politician also announced a revision of the tax policy for crypto traders who do not make a profit.

This image is no longer relevant

It also became known that only 1.82 million BTC coins are at the disposal of Bitcoin miners. This represents about 9.4% of the total volume of cryptocurrencies in circulation and is the lowest in 2023. This indicates that the miners are selling their reserves.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, there is a large outflow of BTC from centralized exchanges, which indicates the continuation of the accumulation period. Yesterday, about 6,760 BTC was withdrawn from the crypto platform, which is equivalent to $141 million. The total BTC supply on exchanges is 11.8%, the lowest since December 2017.

BTC/USD Analysis

As a result of March 9, Bitcoin formed the largest red candle since November 2022, which is ironic because it is the situation in the fall of 2022 that the crypto market returns to. The bearish volumes continued to rise today, causing the asset to break through the $20k level.

This image is no longer relevant

It is noteworthy that we still do not see a strong buy-off of buyers, which indicates an update of older price lows. Technical indicators are gradually falling into the oversold zone, and BTC is moving to storm $19.4k and $18.9k.

This image is no longer relevant

The key support zone within the current decline is the $18.3k level, where there was a serious buying of bulls. With only $323 million liquidated in the last 24 hours, the big players will allow the price to drop lower to collect more substantial liquidity.

Results

Bitcoin is again in the framework of a strong downward movement, intensified by negative sentiment, internal market problems and another deterioration of the macro situation. Therefore, it is likely that a deeper correction awaits us before buying off and trying to recover above $20k.

Artem Petrenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

特朗普邁向加密貨幣市場的又一步

比特幣和以太坊在昨晚急劇下跌,但隨後設法收復失地。就目前而言,空頭力量仍然強於多頭,但這可能只是暫時的,直到Donald Trump最終決定貿易關稅和稅務政策,以及股市動蕩局勢穩定下來。

Jakub Novak 16:38 2025-04-11 UTC+2

4月11日加密貨幣市場交易建議

比特幣和以太坊在週四美國市場尾盤時價值下跌,但在今日亞洲交易時段恢復。 在特朗普將對中國的關稅提升至145%的消息傳出後,加劇了市場的混亂和投資者的焦慮,加密市場和美國股市一同下跌已成為常態。

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:28 2025-04-11 UTC+2

2025年4月11日星期五,波卡加密貨幣日內價格走勢的技術分析

在Polkadot加密貨幣的4小時圖中,出現其價格走勢與隨機指標背離的情況。只要沒有出現弱化修正突破並收在3.2460水平以下,Polkadot在近期有潛力增強至3.8461水平,若增強的動能和波動性支持的話,下一個目標將是4.0105。

Arief Makmur 08:52 2025-04-11 UTC+2

2025年4月11日星期五,Uniswap加密貨幣的日內價格走勢技術分析。

從Uniswap加密貨幣的4小時圖表中可以看到,Uniswap的價格走勢和隨機振盪指標之間似乎存在背離。因此,基於此情況,Uniswap在不久的將來有可能上升至5.755的水平,如果其增強的波動性和動能支持,那麼Uniswap將繼續上升至6.219的水平,但如果在前往目標水平的過程中突然出現明顯的回調,尤其是當回調突破並收於4.546的水平以下,那麼之前描述的所有增強情境將無效並自動取消。

Arief Makmur 08:52 2025-04-11 UTC+2

4月10日加密貨幣市場交易建議

受特朗普突然改變主意的消息影響,比特幣和以太坊雙雙飆升,上漲了6%到10%之間。 在美國宣佈90天暫停互惠關稅的消息之後,比特幣的投資者表現出強烈的FOMO情緒。

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:05 2025-04-10 UTC+2

比特幣承受拋壓:反彈為何難以拯救多頭

比特幣正在大幅下跌,資金傳出虧損,分析師看不到任何增長的理由。加密貨幣市場的領頭羊究竟發生了什麼?在這種情況下應該怎麼做? 比特幣再次處於不穩定的中心。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:07 2025-04-09 UTC+2

4月9日加密貨幣市場的交易建議

比特幣和以太坊在週二結束時大幅下跌,並在今日的亞洲交易時段繼續大幅拋售。在美國股市的又一次急劇下跌中,其他風險資產也被拖累,其中包括加密貨幣市場。

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:22 2025-04-09 UTC+2

又一次加密貨幣市場崩盤

股市的又一次崩盤亦波及加密貨幣市場。由於擔心進一步下跌,投資者開始大量拋售數字資產,這引發了比特幣、以太坊及其他熱門加密貨幣價格的急劇下跌。

Jakub Novak 09:22 2025-04-09 UTC+2

4月8日加密貨幣市場交易建議

Bitcoin 和 Ethereum 在本週初的劇烈拋售後,正逐漸復甦。美國股市的情況及其大幅下跌與加密貨幣市場的下滑緊密相關。

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:25 2025-04-08 UTC+2

比特幣——技術分析概覽

目前,市場正在測試79,773至75,446之間的月度支撐區。若在該區域下方整固,空頭將掌控這些支撐水平,從而使Ichimoku週線金叉(78,416)失效,並開啟新的看空機會。

Evangelos Poulakis 07:36 2025-04-08 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.